Performance Measure
Agency
Measure Name
Percent of enrollment projections that are accurate.
Measure Last Modified
Jun 10 2019 11:45
Measure Last Published
Sep 05 2019 09:52
Measure Status
Active
Data Source and Calculation
In consultation with SCHEV, each public Institution of higher education estimates its projected total enrollment in each of the next six years. Each institution also reports to SCHEV annually its actual student-enrollment (unit record) data. This measure is calculated as the total number of accurate enrollment projections divided by the total number of projections received for a given year, with 'accurate' defined as an institution's enrollment total being within five percentage points (above or below) of its projection.
Enterprise Priorities and Strategies
Enterprise InitiativeEnterprise PriorityEnterprise Strategy
WorkforceCredentialingEstablish annual goals and identify ways to increase statewide credentials that align with employer current and future needs.
Associated Service Areas
SA CodeSA Name
11104Higher Education Coordination and Review
Measure ID24511104.003.001
Measure ClassAgency Key
Measure TypeOutcome
Year TypeState FY
Preferred TrendStable
FrequencyAnnually
Statistical UnitPercentage
Baseline and Targets
Target NameDateResultNote
Baseline
Short Target 202008/30/202095The target value is the percentage of accuracy of the agency's enrollment projections against the actual enrollment numbers for the institutions' prior fall semester.
Long Target 202208/30/202295The target value is the percentage of accuracy of the agency's enrollment projections against the actual enrollment numbers for the institutions' prior fall semester.
Measure Results
YearResultExplanatory Note
201095.00The 95.0 percent figure reported for 2010 represents the accuracy of the agency's 2008 projections against the actual enrollment numbers for the fall 2009 semester.
201199.70The 99.7 percent figure reported for 2011 represents the accuracy of the agency's 2009 projections against the actual enrollment numbers for the fall 2010 semester.
201299.66The 99.66 percent figure reported for 2012 represents the accuracy of the agency's 2010 projections against the actual enrollment numbers for the fall 2011 semester.
201397.00The 97.0 percent figure reported for 2013 represents the accuracy of the agency's 2011 projections against the actual enrollment numbers for the fall 2012 semester.
201499.70The 99.7 percent figure reported for 2014 represents the accuracy of the agency's 2012 projections against the actual enrollment numbers for the fall 2013 semester.
2015100.00The 100 percent figure reported for 2015 represents the accuracy of the agency's 2013 projections against the actual enrollment numbers for the fall 2014 semester.
201694.00The 94.0 percent figure reported for 2016 represents the accuracy of the agency's 2014 projections against the actual enrollment numbers for the fall 2015 semester. Although the result is slightly below the target, this value reflects enrollment totals that were both more than five percent below an institution's projection as well as more than five percent above an institution's projection. While the latter outcome is a positive result in terms of the number of students pursuing higher education, it presents challenges for state policymakers and planners, which is why this measure is constructed this way.
201797.00The percent figure reported for 2017 represents the accuracy of the agency's 2015 projections against the actual enrollment numbers for the fall 2016 semester.
2018The percent figure reported for 2018 represents the accuracy of the agency's 2016 projections against the actual enrollment numbers for the fall 2017 semester.
2019This result will be reported in Fall 2019 when all institutions have submitted, and SCHEV staff have verified, the actual enrollment numbers for the fall 2018 semester.
- Run Date: 09/14/2021 12:08:27